2023 Severe Weather

[Ashful]

Saturday was beautiful! Short sleeve weather, swam the dog for a couple hours… today was absolutely miserable! Low 40s and rain!

I'll give you one guess as to which of these days I was scheduled to stand on the side of a soccer field for two hours.

At least I got nearly a cord of wood split on Saturday, between harvesting walnuts and mowing. Good day to be outside, minus the sweat and the yellowjackets in their frantic fall mood.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

If it was my luck, I’d be standing in the rain, lol. Hope you, and your kid, didn’t catch a cold!

 

[thewoodlands]

 

[begreen]

Ugh. Hope this turns out to be a minor event. I will take snow, but do not like ice storms. They are damaging and dangerous.

 

[thewoodlands]

Ugh. Hope this turns out to be a minor event. I will take snow, but do not like ice storms. They are damaging and dangerous.

This is what NOAA is saying. I'm glad our working days and hitting the roads early in the morning are done, I was in a ice & snow storm that made a 45 minute drive a two hour drive.

Some roads were closed down because of oil and propane trucks off the road in the ditch, I was very glad when I finally made it home.

NOAA,

A wintry mix including snow, sleet, and freezing rain is expected to
move through the region early Thursday morning through midday, which
may cause a slippery morning commute.

 

[thewoodlands]

Not much snow or ice for our area.

 

[thewoodlands]

It looks like the East Coast is in for more rain.

 

[thewoodlands]

Looks like some possible lake effect coming in, if it happens, hopefully it doesn't shift north.

Hazardous Weather Outlook​

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
656 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

NYZ006>008-180000-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
656 PM EST Thu Nov 16 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Significant lake effect snow is possible east and northeast of Lake
Ontario mid to late next week, including Thanksgiving. Travel for
the holiday could be impacted. There is still large uncertainty in
the placement of where the heaviest snow bands will develop and how
persistent they will be once they form. Continue to monitor for later
forecasts and statements.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

It’d be pretty sweet to get some skiing in this early!

 

[thewoodlands]

The Lake Effect isn't up this way on todays map but that could change.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

I’m not even scheduled to get rain. That’s ok though. I’ll get snow eventually.

 

[NHWS]

From the NOAA forecast just now:

[currently] 49dF

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 52. Calm wind.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of rain after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 55. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Rain. Low around 43. South wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Intending to spend a fifth weekend on the pile of hemlock shown in https://www.hearth.com/talk/threads/work-done-2023.196725/post-2687191

 

[thewoodlands]

I’m not even scheduled to get rain. That’s ok though. I’ll get snow eventually.

I was watching our local news out of Watertown NY, tonight the forecast for around Thanksgiving went from Lake Effect down to Lake snow, maybe 3 inches for that area.

I'm sure that will change a few times before everyone hits the road.

 

[thewoodlands]

Not much snow up this way but things could get slick with some ice coming in.

 

[joop]

lucky i live in canada,all the bad weather stops at the border

 

[thewoodlands]

It's 31 degrees tonight with rain and some thunder moving through, I would think the bridges would be getting slick pretty soon.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

I last went outside around 2 hours ago. There was almost 2” of sleet at that time. It’s not going to get better before I wake up, lol.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

About 6 it was starting. I picked the kid up from practice after school. Roads were still good, sidewalks were getting slick.

 

[thewoodlands]

We did get some ice but the rain was real heavy.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

It started raining last night and we were down to about an inch this morning. It as 35 and rainy all day. Miserable to be outside!

 

[thewoodlands]

Hopefully this doesn't head north, I still have some trail cleanup to do.

Winter Storm Watch​

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
243 PM EST Sat Nov 25 2023

NYZ006>008-260345-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0007.231127T0600Z-231129T0600Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
243 PM EST Sat Nov 25 2023

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations
of 7 inches or more possible in the most persistent lake snows.
Winds could gust as high as 35 mph causing blowing and drifting
snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region.

* WHEN...From late Sunday night through late Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Narrow bands of heavy snow could impact portions of the region.
Localized travel problems will be possible.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

Lake effect doesn’t reach this far very often. It might get messy up in your area though. It’ll probably melt away. I don’t see it sticking until late December.

 

[thewoodlands]

Lake effect doesn’t reach this far very often. It might get messy up in your area though. It’ll probably melt away. I don’t see it sticking until late December.

Usually we start getting some decent snowfalls around or after 12-15.

 

[EatenByLimestone]

We’ll get them before that, but the ground is too warm for it to stick.

 

[thewoodlands]

It looks like some areas east of Lake Ontario will get a good dumping of the white stuff.

Lake Effect Snow Warning​

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
358 AM EST Sun Nov 26 2023

NYZ006>008-261700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0003.231127T2100Z-231129T1200Z/
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Oswego, Watertown, and Lowville
358 AM EST Sun Nov 26 2023

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM MONDAY TO
7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations
of 9 to 16 inches in the most persistent lake snows, with local
amounts up to 20 inches across the Tug Hill plateau. Winds
gusting as high as 35 mph will produce areas of blowing and
drifting snow.

* WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. The greatest
accumulations will remain south of Watertown and across the Tug
Hill Plateau.

* WHEN...From 4 PM Monday to 7 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The
hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening
commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be
prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.