B
BrianK
Guest
We stopped at 2 for this reason.
If everyone wanting kids stopped at 2 we'd have a net population decrease.
We stopped at 2 for this reason.
If everyone wanting kids stopped at 2 we'd have a net population decrease.
BrianK, Have you read this? If so what was the premise and was it a good read?
I have not yet read the book but I've read articles by and about the same author, and other books on the same subject. There is a growing body of evidence that the biggest problem facing us is not overpopulation but a looming population crash due to below replacement birth rates not only in the first world but also soon in most third world countries. It is a basic premise of "orthodox" economists that it is impossible to have a growing economy in the absence of a growing population base. A consumer economy is based on consumers. No new consumers being born into an economy = economic stagnation, recession or depression.BrianK, Have you read this? If so what was the premise and was it a good read?
I have not yet read the book but I've read articles by and about the same author, and other books on the same subject. There is a growing body of evidence that the biggest problems facing us is not overpopulation but a looming population crash due to below replacement birth rates not only in the first world but also soon in most third world countries. It is a basic premise of "orthodox" economists that it is impossible to have a growing economy in the absence of a growing population base. A consumer economy is based on consumers. No new consumers being born into an economy = economic stagnation, recession or depression.
By 2050 world population will likely start collapsing because by current trends at that point all nations in the world will be at below replacement level fertility and the increases in life expectancy due to modern medicine and hygiene and farming techniques will have maxed out.
Mankind has never experienced global population decline so no one knows what will happen socially or economically. At a minimum we'll probably have several decades of economic depression as supply outstrips demand and the global economy adjusts.
This goes way too far into "politics and religion" for a forum such as this one. If you'd like to discuss it further offline I'd be happy to do so.
Stasis may be highly underrated.
Ha - I have always wondered who gets to decide what is "just right". This goes for temps, population, taxes, etc.
I'll look it up as this argument seems to run counter to conventional understanding (which I"m necessarily a fan of).
Stasis may be highly underrated.
Don't cross the streams!
Stasis defined was the Great Depression. I've talked to too many who lived through the Great Depression to believe stasis is highly underrated.
That's a valid point. On the other hand, Japan's economic malaise is directly related to their demographics. This is also, or will be soon, true of Greece, (broken link removed), and numerous other Asian and European nations.I don't think many would classify the Great Depression as "stasis". That was a severe decline.
In 2012, being green is about new technology and business opportunities and money, ROI and NPV....break out your spreadsheets, figure our some ROIs for different ways of meeting your needs (and wants), and then help someone else figure it out.
Bottom line is that green tech did not drop from the sky, nor is it a product of pure capitalism....we got it after decades of good public policy: govt sponsored research, as well as tax breaks and regulatory incentives for the big businesses that did the heavy lifting. Dick Nixon did as much to create the green movement when he formed the EPA as all those hippies he hated. And the young people I meet don't care about Nixon or hippies...green is in their DNA now.
Misleading. Japan's economic malaise is directly related to government debt. Debt piled up by unfettered government spending. I personally have worked with government agencies while in Japan. The country is the definition of bureaucratic over reaching. I personally know young Japanese college graduates that now work in the part time job sector because of lack of job prospects. I personally have had a young visitor within the past year from Japan that asked me for help and advice regarding getting a permanent position in Japan. I personally have met with and discussed the debt crisis in Japan with a political counterpart in Japan within the past ten years. Anybody believing demographics is the cause of Japan's economic malaise seriously needs to educate themselves....On the other hand, Japan's economic malaise is directly related to their demographics....
I agree. You can't blame Japan's economic supposed woes on the birth rate
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