ABMax24
Minister of Fire
The data is skewed and will continue to be until the storm passes. That's because the denominator is changing constantly. with most numbers coming from the front line. It is not yet including the many that are staying at home, sick and toughing it out.
Here is the most important part. If people do not go out unnecessarily to events, bars, restaurants, movies and large public gatherings then the contact ratio drops and hospital systems can "just barely" keep up with incoming cases. If people ignore warning and go out regardless, then the virus infections will continue to double at least once every 6 days. That leads to complete medical system overload, even in the best equipped communities. In Italy they are having to make the hard choices to refuse beds to those least likely to survive. There are only so many beds and ventilators in the system.
I agree, but even if the hospitals are seeing the worst of the worst, 44% isn't a comforting number.