We'll see if this forecast is close.
https://www.pennlive.com/life/2018/08/winter_2018-19_will_be_warm_an.html
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Old Farmer's Almanac 2018 - 19 Winter Forecast
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We'll see if this forecast is close.
https://www.pennlive.com/life/2018/08/winter_2018-19_will_be_warm_an.html
boy this is totally different from the other post on this winter
sportbikerider78
Minister of Fire
I need to change my profession to predicting weather.
40% of the time, you're right 100% of the time.
40% of the time, you're right 100% of the time.
Knots
Minister of Fire
Official forecaster for The Farmer's Almanac.
I can tell you with 100% accuracy what the winter will be like . . . in May 2019.
and while Europe roasted?
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DlpAafQW4AAEBLk?format=jpg&name=small
while Mass. will be 95*+ we've got?
tough business?
got to add?
Alpine1
Feeling the Heat
I can confirm. Snow on the Alps not far from where I live. But it’s still summer (at least on paper)
Local weather is just that. It's when it is put together over time that trends appear. A century ago there used to be a rough balance between record low and high anomalies. That has changed. There are many more record highs being set now than lows. For folks that don't like looking at numbers this animation shows the effect around the world.
Here is a local phenomena. This tree is getting ready to drop its leaves in August. Last year this happened around mid October.
Aug 29, 2018 ------------- Oct 17, 2017
Aug 29, 2018 ------------- Oct 17, 2017
Yes, it's cooling down here too. No rain though. Still less than an inch since mid-April and none forecasted.
Is it by any chance dryer than normal? It seems that trees change and drop their leaves sooner when it's dryer.
You might say that. We've had less than an inch of rain since mid-April. Many trees are giving up, including several evergreens.
Yeah, the Sept. outlook for rain here is not good. Apple trees are starting to drop apples 2-3 weeks early.
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/united-states-el-niño-impacts-0
let's stay with the us and the alman. forecast? here is us.gov , with el nino on the way?
Someone brought this up, but agreed it was an irrelevant tangent.
https://www.hearth.com/talk/threads/old-farmers-almanac-2018-19-winter-forecast.169427/#post-2275839
while there is a lot about current hurricanes, Bastardi gives explanation of his thought about this coming winter. it's connection to our current weather. . that comes up around the 6:30 mark. Interesting with the trop season but also stays with what he thinks about the coming winter, scroll down to bottom rt. to get free sat. summary https://www.weatherbell.com/
So far the predictions for WA are for a mild el Nino with lower than average precip and warmer than average temps. This is after Seattle blasted through the old driest May through August on record of 2003. This year had less than half that amount coming in at an inch of total measured rain during this period.
That's happening in my area for a completely different reason. Fungus due to abnormally wet weather.
https://triblive.com/local/regional...nsylvania-because-of-fungus-not-an-early-fall
That's interesting. We normally have damp springs and anthracnose is a problem with fruit trees here.
Some sort of fungus (we're thinking anthracnose) has hit my wife and I's small apple trees in our front yard for the last two years, starting in the spring. This year it spread to the older fruit trees in the spring, and this fall has popped up on the lilacs. We took a walk yesterday afternoon and noticed all of the maples on our property dropping their leaves. There's a large hollow full of maples, and it looks more like the end of October than the middle of September. They've lost about 50% of their leaves, and the other half are yellow and brown.
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